Detecting Autocovariance Change in Time Series. A Simple Technique using Moving Window to Detect Change Point in Time Series

Detecting Autocovariance Change in Time Series. A Simple Technique using Moving Window to Detect Change Point in Time Series

Wisam Yaghi

     

бумажная книга



Издательство: Книга по требованию
Дата выхода: июль 2011
ISBN: 978-3-6391-7290-4
Объём: 104 страниц
Масса: 178 г
Размеры(В x Ш x Т), см: 23 x 16 x 1

A new test to detect changes in the covariance structure of a time series is developed. The test does not involve direct fitting of an assumed model for the time series. It is based on detecting changes in autocovariances calculated in a moving window through the series. The use of standard tests of time series change points is inappropriate because of the correlations imposed by the moving windows. This requires the development of new adjustments to existing time series change point tests. The ability of this moving window technique to detect changes in the lag one autocovariance of autoregressive and moving average time series is studied. We illustrate the application of this new test on UK Treasury bill rates and airline travel data.

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